Liverpool - Arsenal: Reds to Ruin Rusty Rampart

On Monday night, Liverpool host Arsenal at Anfield and I find the odds for Liverpool to score goals way too generous at Unibet at the moment.

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Liverpool

The Reds will have a rough time defending the league title, but Jürgen Klopp's men are off to a good start winning the first two games of the season.

Arsenal

The Gunners will be desperate to reclaim a top 5 spot but I'm not sure this is the season to do it. Mikel Arteta's men enjoyed a fine second part of last season but still: only two teams have seen a decline in the overall shots and xG data over the past two seasons, and Arsenal is one of those (something I've written more about in the 2020-21 Premier League Preview & Betting Guide).
To make matters slightly worse, new central defender Gabriel Magalhaes didn't look his sharpest in the last game against West Ham.

Statistics

Only Manchester City and Chelsea created more shots than Liverpool in the Premier League last season, Liverpool creating on average 15.53 shots per game.
Only Manchester City created more shots on target than Liverpool in the Premier League last season, Liverpool creating on average 6.08 shots on target per game.
No other team created more shots on target at home against top half teams than Liverpool last season, the Merseyside club creating on average 6.89 shots on target per game.

No other team had a better shots on target difference against top half teams than Liverpool last season.

Only Aston Villa, Norwich, Newcastle and Bournemouth conceded more shots than Arsenal in the Premier League last season, Arsenal conceding on average 14.58 shots per game.
Only Norwich, Newcastle and Bournemouth conceded more shots on target than Arsenal in the Premier League last season, Arsenal conceding on average 5.11 shots on target per game.
Only Tottenham conceded more shots on target on the road against top 6 teams than Arsenal last season, the Islington outfit conceding on average 7.50 shots on target per game.

Only Newcastle had a worse shots on target difference on the road against top 6 teams than Arsenal last season.

Check out more Premier League stats here!

Conclusion & Betting Tips

No other team created more shots on target at home against top half teams and no other team had a better shots on target difference against top half teams than Liverpool last season.
Only one team conceded more shots on target on the road against top 6 teams and only one team had a worse shots on target difference on the road against top 6 teams than Arsenal last season.
For what it's worth: the five most recent clashed between the two teams at Anfield have finished 3-3, 3-1, 4-0, 5-1 and 3-1.
My Betting Tip is Total Liverpool Goals: Over 2.5.
Stake at 7.5/10 units.

Learn more about what a unit is.

Check out more odds on Liverpool - Arsenal here!