Brentford - Luton Town: Hats off to the herculean home team

Brentford welcome Luton Town at Griffin Park on Saturday. There's also a full round of Championship games mid-week; but I recon the odds for the Saturday game will drop steadily during the week and bets on this very game should be placed sooner rather than later.

Brentford

At the start of the season, the Bees had some problems converting performances to games won. However, for some time now Thomas Frank's team has been humming like a hive, and the gap to the top 6 spots is just 2 points now.

Statistics

Only 6 teams have created more shots than Brentford so far in the Championship this season, Brentford creating on average 13.35 shots per game. Only Leeds and Fulham have created more shots on target than Brentford so far in the Championship this season, Brentford creating on average 4.59 shots on target per game.
No other team have conceded fewer shots than Brentford so far in the Championship this season, Brentford conceding on average 8.71 shots per game. Only Leeds have conceded fewer shots on target than Brentford so far in the Championship this season, Brentford conceding on average 2.94 shots on target per game.

Looking at home games specifically, no other team have created more shots than Brentford so far in the Championship this season, Brentford creating on average 15.75 shots per game. Only West Bromwich and Fulham have created more shots on target at home than Brentford so far in the Championship this season, Brentford creating on average 5.00 shots on target per game.
Only Leeds and Birmingham teams have conceded fewer shots at home than Brentford so far in the Championship this season, Brentford conceding on average 7.88 shots per game. Only Leeds have conceded fewer shots on target at home than Brentford so far in the Championship this season, the London club conceding on average 2.38 shots on target per game.

Looking at the last 4 games, Brentford have created on average 5.60 shots on target per game - the best attacking numbers in the league right now. During those games Brentford have conceded 3.00 shots on target per game - one of the best defensive numbers in the league right now.

I have written about Brentford in more detail here.

Luton Town

The Hatters find themselves in the relegation zone (on goal difference), and Graeme Jones' first managerial adventure could very well end with a quick return to League One.

Statistics

Only 2 teams have created fewer shots than Luton so far in the Championship this season, Luton creating on average 10.18 shots per game. Only 5 teams have created fewer shots on target than Luton so far in the Championship this season, Luton creating on average 3.47 shots on target per game.
No other team have conceded more shots than Luton so far in the Championship this season, Luton conceding on average 15.71 shots per game. Only Barnsley have conceded more shots on target than Luton so far in the Championship this season, Luton conceding on average 4.71 shots on target per game.

Looking at away games exclusively, only 4 teams have created fewer shots than Luton so far in the Championship this season, Luton creating on average 9.89 shots per game. Only 5 teams have created fewer shots on target than Luton so far in the Championship this season, Luton creating on average 3.11 shots on target per game.
Only 2 teams have conceded more shots on the road than Luton so far in the Championship this season, Luton conceding on average 15.89 shots per game. 8 teams have conceded more shots on target than Luton so far in the Championship this season, the Bedfordshire club conceding on average 4.44 shots on target per game.

Looking at the last 4 games, Luton have created on average 3.20 shots on target per game - only 3 teams put on show worse attacking numbers in the league right now. In the same time span, Luton have conceded 7.40 shots on target per game - by some distance the worst defensive numbers in the league right now.

Check out more Championship stats here!

Conclusion & Betting Tips

Brentford is one of the teams creating the most and conceding the fewest shots and shots on target in the Championship, especially at home.
Luton is one of the teams creating the fewest and conceding the most shots and shots on target in the Championship, the trend is even deteriorating.
My Betting Tip is Brentford -1.25 (AH).
Stake at 8.75/10 units.

Check out more odds on Brentford - Luton Town here!