League Two play-offs - Preview and Predictions

Cheltenham Town, Cambridge United and Bolton Wanderers have already won automatic promotion to League One while Southend United and Grimsby Town are relegated to National League.
Still in the mix for the last promotion spot are Morecambe (finished 4th), Newport County (finished 5th), Forest Green Rovers (finished 6th) and Tranmere Rovers (finished 7th).

The play-offs are scheduled to take place as follows:

Form

Morecambe finished the season with the best points per game ratio, claiming 12 points from the last five games while scoring 11 goals and conceding 3 goals. However, in 4 of those 5 games Morecambe faced out of form teams from the bottom half of the table.
Of the four play-off teams, the Shrimps display one of the healthiest shots data going into the final games of the season.
Looking at the four most recent games, Morecambe have created on average 3.75 shots on target per game - pretty much the average numbers in the league right now. In the same stretch of games, the Lancashire club have conceded on average 1.75 shots on target per game - the joint best defensive numbers in the league in recent weeks. All in all, Morecambe have the third best shots on target difference in League Two right now.

Newport County finished the season with the second-best points per game ratio, claiming 11 points from the last five games while scoring 8 goals and conceding just 1 goal.
The Exiles also display one of the best shots data of the League One hopefuls in the last couple of weeks.
Looking at the four most recent games, Newport have created on average 4.25 shots on target per game - one of the best attacking numbers in the league right now. In the four most recent games, the South Wales club have conceded on average 2.75 shots on target per - one of the best defensive numbers in the league in recent weeks. All in all, Newport have produced one of the best shots on target differences in the League Two of late.

Forest Green Rovers have collected 8 points from the five most recent games, scoring 5 goals and conceding 3 goals.
The Green Devils display decent enough shots data in the last couple of weeks not creating nor conceding a great number of chances.
Looking at the four most recent games, Forest Green Rovers have created on average 2.75 shots on target per game - one of the worst attacking numbers in the league right now. In the four most recent games, the Gloucestershire outfit have conceded on average 2.75 shots on target per game - one of the best defensive numbers in League Two in recent weeks. All in all, Forest Green Rovers have a neutral shots on target difference in recent weeks.

Tranmere Rovers have collected 8 points from the five most recent games, scoring 3 goals and conceding 2 goals.
Of the four play-off teams, the Super White Army have produced the worst shots data during the run-in.
Looking at the four most recent games, Tranmere have created on average 1.50 shots on target per game - the worst attacking numbers in the league right now. In the four most recent games, the Merseyside team have conceded on average 1.75 shots on target per game - the joint best defensive numbers in the league in recent weeks. All in all, Tranmere have a slightly negative shots on target difference of late.

Track record against Top 7

With the regular season over, how did the four promotion hopefuls do against fellow top 7 teams?

Morecambe have picked up the fewest points when facing top 7 opposition, also producing a negative goal difference. Morecambe also display the worst shots on target data against fellow top 7 teams, the Shrimps looking shake both home and away.

Newport County have picked up the most points in the mini top 7 league, also producing a positive goal difference. Newport also display the best shots on target data against top 7 opposition, the Exiles looking particularly strong at home.

Forest Green Rovers display the second-best points tally and the second best shots on target record against top 6 opposition of the League One hopefuls, Rovers looking particularly solid at home.

Tranmere Rovers have amassed a decent enough points tally against top 6 opposition but produce the second worst shots on target data.

Check out the League Two table, upcoming fixtures and lots of other stats here!

Conclusion & Betting Tips

Of the three EFL play-offs, this is the hardest to call. All of the teams go into the final games of the season in pretty good shape, but Newport and Forest Green Rovers do have a formidable record against top 7 teams this season. I think the winner of the winner of Newport County and Forest Green Rovers will go all the way.
Betting Tip: Promotion: Newport County.
Stake at 2.5/10 units.
Betting Tip: Promotion: Forest Green Rovers.
Stake at 2.5/10 units.

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