On Saturday Millwall make the short trip westward to face Brentford at Brentford Community Stadium and I do believe that the odds market to some extent overestimate the prospect of the visitors scoring goals here.
Brentford
The Bees have picked up a mere 7 points from the five most recent games, but the numbers look good as they prepare for another play-offs.
Only Barnsley have conceded fewer shots in the Championship than Brentford so far this season, Brentford conceding on average 8.83 shots per game. Only six teams have conceded fewer shots on target in the Championship than Brentford so far this season, the Bees conceding on average 3.23 shots on target per game.
Looking at the four most recent league games, the numbers look even better:
In the four most recent league games Brentford have conceded on average 1.50 shots on target per game - the best defensive numbers in the Championship right now.
Millwall
The Lions look set to miss out on the play-offs after losing to Swansea City on Saturday. Millwall now trail in-form Barnsley and Bournemouth by no less than 13 points.
The Lions create around the league average of shots in the Championship so far this season, Millwall creating on average 11.29 shots per game.
Millwall create below the league average of shots on target in the Championship so far this season, Millwall creating on average 3.32 shots on target per game.
Looking at the four most recent league games, the numbers look below par:
In the four most recent league games Millwall have created on average 2.75 shots on target per game - one of the worst attacking numbers in the Championship in recent weeks.
Check out the Championship table, upcoming fixtures and lots of other stats here!
Conclusion & Betting Tips
Brentford is one of the teams conceding the fewest shots on target so far this season, Brentford also put on show one of the best defensive numbers in the Championship in recent weeks.
Millwall is one of the teams creating the fewest shots on target in the Championship in recent weeks.
For what it's worth: Brentford have kept a clean sheet in 3 of the 5 most recent games hosting Millwall.
Betting Tip: Total Goals by Millwall: Under 0.5.
Stake at 6.25/10 units.
