On Saturday 10 April, Stoke City make the short trip southward to face Birmingham City at St Andrew's and I do believe that the odds market to great extent overestimate the prospect of the hosts scoring goals here.

Birmingham City

The Blues have indeed put some distance between themselves and the relegation zone, Birmingham picking up 6 points from the 3 most recent games after Lee Bowyer replaced Aitor Karanka as head coach on 16 March. I do think that Bowyer will manage to keep Birmingham up, injecting some change and hope, but he is not the most inovative tactical mastermind in the top tiers of English football. Birmingham were rather lucky to get away with 3 points against Reading and beat an imploding Swansea City side by means of a penalty in added time.

Only five teams have created fewer shots in the Championship than Birmingham so far this season, Birmingham creating on average 10.29 shots per game.
Only Sheffield Wednesday have created fewer shots on target in the Championship than Birmingham so far this season, the Blues creating on average 2.84 shots on target per game.

Looking at home games solely, the numbers look slightly more dreadful:
Birmingham have created on average 2.74 shots on target per game at St Andrew's this season - only Bristol city have created fewer shots on target at home this season.

In the four most recent league games Birmingham have created on average 1.25 shots on target per game - the worst attacking numbers in the Championship in recent weeks.

Also, Birmingham have one of the worst shoot percentages the Championship this season, Birmingham scoring a mere 25% of the created shots on target.

Stoke City

The Potters are firing on all cylinders at the moment, picking up 10 points from the 5 most recent games, keeping a clean sheet in 4 of those games.

Only six teams have conceded fewer shots in the Championship than Stoke so far this season, Stoke conceding on average 10.45 shots per game. Only Watford, Middlesbrough and Swansea City have conceded fewer shots on target in the Championship than Stoke so far this season, the Potters conceding on average 3.03 shots on target per game.

Looking at the four most recent league games, the numbers look even better:
In the four most recent league games Stoke have conceded on average 1.75 shots on target per game - the second best defensive numbers in the Championship right now.

Check out the Championship table, upcoming fixtures and lots of other stats here!

Conclusion & Betting Tips

Birmingham is one of the teams creating the fewest shots on target so far this season, Birmingham also displaying the worst attacking numbers in the Championship in recent weeks.
Stoke is one of the teams conceding the fewest shots on target so far this season, Stoke also put on show one of the best defensive numbers in the Championship in recent weeks.
Betting Tip: Total Goals by Birmingham City: Under 0.5.
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Birmingham City scores 0 goals

Birmingham City - Stoke City

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