This is an early outlook on the Bundesliga game between VfL Wolfsburg and Schalke 04, scheduled to take place on Saturday 13 March at Volkswagen Arena.
The hosts haven't conceded a single goal in the five most recent games and the visitors have only managed to score twice in the same time span.
I do believe that the odds market to great extent overestimate the prospect of the visitors scoring goals here.

VfL Wolfsburg

The Wolves from Lower Saxony are in hot pursuit of a Champions League spot, conceding on average 0.82 goals per game (0.40 goals per game in the five most recent home games!).

Only 5 teams have conceded fewer shots than Wolfsburg so far this season, Wolfsburg conceding on average 10.74 shots per game.
Only RB Leipzig and Bayer Leverkusen have conceded fewer shots on target than Wolfsburg so far this season, Wolfsburg conceding on average 3.48 shots on target per game.

Looking solely at home games, the numbers look even more solid:
Only RB Leipzig have conceded fewer shots on target at home than Wolfsburg so far this season, Wolfsburg conceding on average 3.18 shots on target per game at Volkswagen Arena.

Looking at the four most recent games specifically, Wolfsburg have looked particularly solid, conceding on average 2.25 shots on target per game which is better defensive numbers than Wolfsburg's numbers for the season so far and also the best defensive numbers in Bundesliga in recent weeks.

Wolfsburg have, by some margin, the best save percentage in Bundesliga this season, Koen Casteels saving some 76% of the faced shots on target so far.

Schalke 04

The Miners from North Rhine-Westphalia are experiencing a rather horrible season, currently rock bottom 9 points adrift Hertha Berlin in 15:th spot.

Only 4 teams have created fewer shots than Schalke so far this season, Schalke creating on average 10.35 shots per game.
Only Arminia Bielefeld and FC Augsburg have created fewer shots on target than Schalke so far this season, Schalke creating on average 3.04 shots on target per game.

Looking at away games specifically, the numbers look even more dreadful:
No other team have created fewer shots on target on the road than Schalke so far this season, Schalke creating on average 2.09 shots on target per game when away from Arena AufSchalke.

Looking at the four most recent games, Schalke have created on average 1.25 shots on target per game which is worse attacking numbers than Schalke's numbers for the season so far and also the worst attacking numbers in Bundesliga in recent weeks.

Schalke have the worst shoot percentage in the Bundesliga this season, Schalke scoring some 22% of the created shots on target so far.

Check out more Bundesliga stats here!

Conclusion, Prediction & Betting Tips

No other team have conceded fewer shots on target than Wolfsburg in recent weeks and Wolfsburg also have the best save percentage in the league.
No other team have created fewer shots on target than Schalke in the last couple of weeks and Schalke also have the worst shoot percentage in the league.
Betting Tip: Total Goals by Schalke 04: Under 0.5.
Stake at maximum 10/10 units.

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Schalke 04 scores 0 goals

VfL Wolfsburg - Schalke 04

  • 10.4 u
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