On Saturday 20 February, Burnley host West Bromwich Albion at Turf Moor.
In this particular football betting tip I fancy the total goals market and I believe that the odds market overestimate the prospect of goals. I expect the odds on the under-markets to drop slowly between now and kick-off, so get on board sooner rather than later!

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Burnley

The Clarets are 8 points clear of the relegation zone and Sean Dyche is yet again working miracles with the minimum of resources at his disposal.

Statistics

Only West Bromwich Albion have created fewer shots than Burnley so far in the Premier League this season, Burnley creating on average 8.38 shots per game.
No other team have created fewer shots on target than Burnley so far in the Premier League this season, the Lancashire team creating on average 2.71 shots on target per game.

There’s been on average 2.00 goals scored in Burnley's home games this season, 73% of the home games adding up less than 2.50 goals.

When facing bottom 6 teams this season, there's been on average 1.25 goals scored in Burnley's league games (75% of the games ending with less than 2.5 goals scored).

When facing teams from the bottom half of the table last season, Burnley's league games saw an average of 2.00 goals scored per game (60% of the games ending with less than 2.5 goals scored).

West Bromwich Albion

The Baggies are in deep trouble and with 11 points up to safe ground every single point is vital for Sam Allardyce's team.

Statistics

No other team have created fewer shots than West Brom so far in the Premier League this season, West Brom creating on average 7.91 shots per game.
Only Burnley have created fewer shots on target than West Brom so far in the Premier League this season, the West Midlands outfit creating on average 2.77 shots on target per game.

There’s been on average 2.83 goals scored in West Brom's away games this season, 58% of the home games adding up less than 2.50 goals.

When facing bottom 6 teams this season, there's been on average 1.60 goals scored in West Brom's league games (80% of the games ending with less than 2.5 goals scored).

Check out more Premier League stats here!

Conclusion & Betting Tips

Both teams display a relatively cautious attacking game and both teams have a low scoring record against fellow bottom of the table teams.
My Betting Tip is Under 2.5 Goals.
Stake at 6.25/10 units.

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All bets

Under 2.50 goals

Burnley FC - West Bromwich Albion

Bethard -137
6.25 u
  • 4.56 u
    Result