On Friday Stoke City host Watford at the Bet365 Stadium. Both teams are stalling somewhat in the top third of the table and I think this will be a relatively tight and close game where both teams would safeguard 1 point rather than gamble for 3.
Stoke City
There's been on average 2.08 goals scored in Stoke's league games so far this season, 71% of the games ending with under 2.50 goals.
Looking at the four most recent league games specifically, the Potters have created on average 2.25 shots on target per game and conceded on average 2.25 shots on target per game. Both numbers are way below the league average during the same period of time.
Consequently, the home team's amalgamated created and conceded shots on target the last few weeks is the lowest in the league right now and I believe we're in for yet another tight and play-it-safe-performance from the Staffordshire club.
Watford
There's been on average 1.91 goals scored in Watford's league games so far this season, 78% of the games ending with less than 2.50 goals.
Looking at the four most recent league games specifically, the Hornets have created on average 3.00 shots on target per game and conceded on average 3.67 shots on target per game. Both numbers are below the league average during the same period of time.
All things combined, the away team's amalgamated created and conceded shots on target the last few weeks is one of the lowest in the league right now and I think we will see close numbers from the Hertfordshire again on Friday.
Check out the Championship table, upcoming fixtures and lots of other stats here!
Conclusion & Betting Tips
71% of Stoke's league games this season have seen under 2.50 goals and Stoke have created and conceded record low numbers of shots on target in recent weeks.
78% of Watford's league games this season have seen under 2.50 goals and Watford have created and conceded below average numbers of shots on target in recent weeks.
For what it’s worth: there's been on average 1.81 goals scored in the five most recent clashes between the two teams, 80% of the games ending with less than 2.50 goals.
Betting Tip: Total Goals: Under 2.25.
Stake at 5/10 units.
