This is an early outlook on the Premier League game between Tottenham Hotspur and Manchester City, scheduled to take place on Saturday 21 November at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.
I believe there's some slight value to be found in the total goals market.
- The 5 most recent clashed between the two teams in all competitions have indeed seen on average 3.00 goals scored (less than 2.50 goals scored in 3 of 5 games). However, 2 games at the Etihad Stadium inflate the numbers.
- The 5 most recent meetings between the two teams in North London (all competitions) have seen on average 2.00 goals scored (less than 2.50 goals scored in 4 of 5 games).
Tottenham Hotspur
When facing top 6 teams at home last season, Tottenham displayed the lowest total goals average in the league. In those very games there were on average 2.00 goals scored (under 2.50 goals scored in 4 of 5 games).
It's still early stages of the current season but Tottenham have produced better than average defensive numbers so far. Only 5 teams have conceded fewer shots than Tottenham so far this season, Tottenham conceding on average 10.50 shots per game. Only Brighton and Chelsea have conceded fewer shots on target than Tottenham so far this season, José Mourinho's men conceding on average 3.25 shots on target per game.
Manchester City
When facing top 6 teams on the road last season, Manchester City displayed one of the lowest total goals average in the league. In those very games there were on average 2.40 goals scored (under 2.50 goals scored in 3 of 5 games).
Manchester City have only checked off 7 games this season but have churned out better than average defensive numbers so far. Only Brighton, Liverpool and Southampton have conceded fewer shots than Manchester City so far this season, Manchester City conceding on average 8.71 shots per game. Only Brighton, Chelsea and Tottenham have conceded fewer shots on target than Manchester City so far this season, Pep Guardiola's group conceding on average 3.43 shots on target per game.
Check out more Premier League stats here!
Prediction & Betting Tips
When facing top 6 teams at home last season, Tottenham displayed the lowest total goals average in the league.
When facing top 6 teams on the road last season, Manchester City displayed one of the lowest total goals average in the league.
Both teams produce better than average defensive numbers so far this season.
The 5 most recent meetings between the two teams in North London (all competitions) have seen on average 2.00 goals scored (less than 2.50 goals scored in 4 of 5 games).
My Betting Tip is Total Goals: Under 2.75.
Stake at 5/10 units.
Learn more about what a unit is.
Check out more odds on Tottenham Hotspur vs Manchester City here!
