This is an early outlook on the early evening game on Sunday 8 November between Manchester City and Liverpool at the Etihad Stadium.
I believe there's some slight value to be found in the total goals market. I also expect the odds at the aforementioned market to drop slowly between now and kick-off, so get on board sooner rather than later!
- The 10 most recent clashed between the two teams in all competitions have seen on average 3.40 goals scored (3 or more goals scored in 8 of 10 games).
- The 5 most recent matches between the two teams in the Premier League have seen on average 3.60 goals scored (3 or more goals scored in 4 of 5 games).
- The 10 most recent meetings between the two teams at the Etihad (all competitions) have seen on average 3.60 goals scored (3 or more goals scored in 9 of 10 games).
- The 5 most recent Premier League games between the two teams at the Etihad have seen on average 3.60 goals scored (3 or more goals scored in 4 of 5 games).
Can Pep Guardiola get City back on track in the Premier League?
The Sky Blues haven't really clicked into gear yet, occupying 13th place in the Premier League with 8 points after 5 games. Pep Guardiola's men do however top the Champions League Group C with 6 points after 2 games.
The schedule is relatively kind in this particular stretch of time: Manchester City will face Olympiacos at home in the Champions League five days prior to the Liverpool clash and then travel to Tottenham Hotspur Stadium after another 13 days enclosing and international break. This will presumably allow Guardiola to put a lot of preparation and focus on the showdown with Jürgen Klopp.
- Only Liverpool have created more shots than Manchester City so far this season, Manchester City creating on average 16.00 shots per game.
- Only Liverpool, Tottenham and Leeds have created more shots on target than Manchester City so far this season, Manchester City creating on average 5.60 shots on target per game.
- 6 teams have conceded fewer shots on target than Manchester City so far this season, Manchester City conceding on average 4.00 shots on target per game.
Manchester City are struggling with injuries to forwards Gabriel Jesus and Sergio Agüero and also defenders Benjamin Mendy, Fernandinho and Nathan Aké. If placing bets closer to kick-off, you might want to check on Manchester City squad and player news.
Will Liverpool cope with the absence of Virgil van Dijk?
Jürgen Klopp's title defenders are off to a bright start, trailing leaders Everton on goal difference in the Premier League and topping Champions League Group D with 6 points from 2 games.
The schedule isn't that bad for Liverpool: The Reds face Atalanta on the road in the Champions League five days prior to the Manchester City game and then host Leicester after another 13 days of international break.
- No other team have created more shots than Liverpool so far this season, Liverpool creating on average 19.00 shots per game.
- No other team have created more shots on target than Liverpool so far this season, Liverpool creating on average 6.83 shots on target per game.
- 12 teams have conceded fewer shots on target than Liverpool so far this season, Liverpool conceding on average 4.50 shots on target per game.
Goalkeepers Alisson and Adrian haven't really been up to par so far, saving some 48% of the faced shots on target, which is far from the 70% last season or the 77% from the 2018-19 season.
Liverpool are struggling with injuries to defenders Virgil van Dijk and Fabinho. If placing bets closer to kick-off, you might want to check on Liverpool squad and player news.
Check out more Premier League stats here!
Prediction & Betting Tips
Both teams produce fine attacking numbers but don't look as solid at the back as in recent seasons.
The 10 most recent games between the two teams at the Etihad (all competitions) have seen on average 3.60 goals scored (3 or more goals scored in 9 of 10 games).
My Betting Tip is Total Goals: Over 3.
Stake at 5/10 units.
