On Saturday Sheffield Wednesday host Millwall at Hillsborough Stadium. I believe the odds market overestimate the prospect of the home team scoring goals.
Sheffield Wednesday
The Owls carry the burden of points deduction (6 points) and the performances haven't been great, Garry Monk's men still rock bottom of the table after 10 games.
Statistics
Only 5 teams have created fewer shots than Sheffield Wednesday so far this season, Sheffield Wednesday creating on average 10.00 shots per game.
No other team have created fewer shots on target than Sheffield Wednesday so far this season, Sheffield Wednesday creating on average 2.50 shots on target per game.
Sheffield Wednesday have one of the lowest shoot percentages in the league so far this season, the South Yorkshire outfit scoring 24% of the created shots on target.
Consequently, Sheffield Wednesday have scored a mere 0.60 goals per game so far this season.
Millwall
The Lions are off to a good start to the season, the South East London club occupying 8th place after 10 games.
Statistics
Millwall have conceded around the league average of shots so far this season, Millwall conceding on average 11.80 shots per game.
However, only Middlesbrough and Swansea have conceded fewer shots on target than Millwall so far this season, Gary Rowett's team conceding on average 3.10 shots on target per game.
Millwall have one of the highest save percentages in the league so far this season, Bartosz Bialkowski saving some 74% of the faced shots on target.
All things combined, Millwall have conceded on average 0.80 goals per game so far this season.
Check out the Championship table, upcoming fixtures and lots of other stats here!
Conclusion & Betting Tips
No other team have created fewer shots on target than Sheffield Wednesday and Sheffield Wednesday also have one of the lowest shoot percentages in the league, resulting in a mere 0.60 goals scored per game so far this season.
Only 2 teams have conceded fewer shots on target than Millwall and displaying one of the highest save percentages in the league Millwall have conceded just 0.80 goals per game so far this season.
I do believe that the odds market overestimate the prospect of the home team scoring goals.
My Betting Tip is Total Goals by Sheffield Wednesday: 0.
Stake at 6.25/10 units.
