AFC Bournemouth vs Derby County - Attacking Anxiety in the Away Team

On Saturday, AFC Bournemouth host Derby County at Dean Court a.k.a. Vitality Stadium. I believe the odds market overestimate the prospect of a goal to be scored by the visitors.

AFC Bournemouth

The Cherries are off to a solid start to the season, occupying 6th spot with 13 points from 7 games.

Statistics

Bournemouth have conceded around the league average of shots and shots on target so far this season. However, the Dorset club have a clever way of restricting opponents from creating very good goal scoring opportunities. No other team have conceded fewer shots within the 6 yards box than Bournemouth so far this season and only Reading and Cardiff have forced opponents to take a greater proportion of the created shots from outside the 18 yards box.
Furthermore, Bournemouth have one of the highest save percentages so far this season, Asmir Begovic saving some 77% of the faced shots on target.
All things combined, Bournemouth have conceded the fifth fewest goals so far this season: on average 0.67 goals per game at home.

Derby County

The Rams are enduring a rough start to the season, residing in 22nd place with 4 points from 7 games.

Statistics

Derby have created around the league average of shots so far this season. However, only 6 teams have created marginally fewer shots on target than Derby so far this season, the Derbyshire outfit creating on average 2.86 shots on target per game. To make matters worse, only Wycombe have a lower shoot percentage than Derby so far this season, Derby scoring a mere 15% of the created shots on target. As a consequence, Derby have scored the third fewest goals per game so far this season: on average 0.43 goals per game.

Wayne Rooney will miss the games against Bournemouth as he continues to self-isolate; a blow to Derby's attacking plans since Rooney have created the most shots and made the second most key passes per game so far this season.

Check out the Championship table, upcoming fixtures and lots of other stats here!

Conclusion & Betting Tips

Bournemouth have conceded the fifth fewest goals and have one of the best save percentages in the league so far this season.
Derby have scored the third fewest goals and have one of the worst shoot percentages in the league so far this season.
My Betting Tip is Total Goals by Derby County: Under 0.5.
Stake at 6.25/10 units.

Learn more about what a unit is.

Check out more odds on AFC Bournemouth - Derby County here!