Brighton & Hove Albion - West Bromwich Albion: Solid Seagulls to keep Baggies at bay

Brighton & Hove Albion - West Bromwich Albion: Solid Seagulls to keep Baggies at bay

Published by Christoffer Segerhjelm, 19 October 2020

This is an early outlook on the early evening Premier League game on Monday 26 October. This is a game where Brighton & Hove Albion host West Bromwich Albion at Falmer Stadium and I believe the odds market overestimates the prospect of the visitors scoring goals.

Brighton & Hove Albion

Despite being 16th in the Premier League right now, things don't look that bad for The Seagulls.
Graham Potter's men have lost to Chelsea, Manchester United and Everton but claimed 4 point against Newcastle and Crystal Palace in quite an impressive manner.
Central defender Lewis Dunk received a red card in the game against Crystal Palace, but he hasn't really been up to par so far this season and there's more than enough quality in fit central defenders Ben White, Adam Webster and Dan Burn.

Statistics

Only Southampton and Liverpool have conceded fewer shots than Brighton so far in the Premier League this season, Brighton conceding on average 8.50 shots per game.
Only West Ham, Chelsea, Southampton and Everton have conceded slightly fewer shots on target than Brighton so far in the Premier League this season, the blue & white East Sussex outfit conceding on average 3.50 shots on target per game.
When facing bottom half teams at home last season, only Chelsea and Leicester conceded fewer shots on target per game than Brighton (Brighton conceding on average 2.82 shots on target per game).
When facing bottom 6 teams at home last season, no other team conceded fewer shots on target per game than Brighton (Brighton conceding on average 2.00 shots on target per game).

West Bromwich Albion

The Baggies occupy 18th spot with 1 point from 4 games. The navy blue and white striped West Midlands club have indeed scored 5 goals, but I would argue that this is down to an unsustainable amount of luck so far.
There are also injury and fitness issues with attacking trio Kenneth Zohore, Hal Robson-Kanu and Callum Robinson.

Statistics

No other team have created fewer shots than West Brom so far in the Premier League this season, West Brom creating on average 6.75 shots per game.
Only Newcastle, Crystal Palace and Sheffield United have created slightly fewer shots on target than West Brom so far in the Premier League this season, Slaven Bilić's men creating on average 2.50 shots on target per game.

Check out more Premier League stats here!

Prediction & Betting Tips

Only 4 teams have conceded slightly fewer shots on target than Brighton so far in the Premier League this season. When facing bottom 6 teams at home last season, no other team conceded fewer shots on target per game than Brighton.
Only 3 teams have created slightly fewer shots on target than West Brom so far in the Premier League this season.
My Betting Tip is Total Goals by West Bromwich Albion: Under 0.5.
Stake at 8.75/10 units.

Learn more about what a unit is.

Check out more odds on Brighton & Hove Albion - West Bromwich Albion here!

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