Middlesbrough - Barnsley: A level and pragmatic Yorkshire Derby

On Saturday, Middlesbrough will host Barnsley at Riverside Stadium. Both teams escaped relegation in more or less dramatic fashion last season and both teams will be hoping for a not so hair-raising mid-table finish this time around.
I believe that the odds market overestimates the prospect of goals to be scored in this match.

Middlesbrough

The Boro finished in 17th place last season, 5 point above the drop zone.
In the first 3 games this season, Neil Warnock's team have picked up 2 points while scoring 2 goals and conceding 3 goals.

Statistics

There were on average 2.37 goals scored in Middlesbrough's league games last season, 59% of the games adding up less than 2.5 goals in total.
There were on average 2.13 goals scored in Middlesbrough's home games in the league last season, 65% of the games adding up less than 2.5 goals in total.
There were on average 1.91 goals scored in Middlesbrough's home games against bottom half teams last season, 73% of the games adding up less than 2.5 goals in total.

Barnsley

The Tykes finished in 21st place last season, a mere 1 point above the drop zone. In the first 3 games this season Gerhard Struber's men have picked up 1 point, scoring 0 goals and conceding 3 goals in the process.

Statistics

There were on average 2.57 goals scored in Barnsley's league games last season, 54% of the games adding up less than 2.5 goals in total.
There were on average 2.43 goals scored in Barnsley's away games in the league last season, 52% of the games adding up less than 2.5 goals in total.
There were on average 1.91 goals scored in Barnsley's away games against bottom half teams last season, 73% of the games adding up less than 2.5 goals in total.

Check out the Championship table, upcoming fixtures and lots of other stats here!

Conclusion & Betting Tips

When Middlesbrough faced bottom half teams at home last season there were on average 1.91 goals scored, 73% of the games adding up less than 2.5 goals in total.
When Barnsley faced bottom half teams on the road last season there were on average 1.91 goals scored, 73% of the games adding up less than 2.5 goals in total.
For what it's worth, the corresponding game last season finished 1-0.
Betting Tip: Under 2.25 Goals.
Stake at 6.25/10 units.

Learn more about what a unit is.

Check out more odds on Middlesbrough - Barnsley here!