On Sunday night Southampton host Manchester City at St Mary's Stadium. A number of stats indicate there will be quite a few goals scored and I still fancy the over market here.
Southampton
The Saints occupy 14th place with 40 points, having a 13 point cushion to the drop zone and being 5 point short of a top half spot. Ralph Hasenhüttl's greatest challenge is his side being terribly inconsistent and also having some sort of strange syndrome making it hard to win at St Mary's.
Statistics
There has been on average 3.00 goals scored in Southampton's league games so far this season, 62% of the games adding up more than 2.5 goals in total.
There has been on average 3.06 goals scored in Southampton's home games in the league so far this season, 56% of the games adding up more than 2.5 goals in total.
There has been on average 4.80 goals scored in Southampton's home games against the top 6 teams so far this season, 80% of the games adding up more than 2.5 goals in total.
Only Chelsea have a lower save percentage than Southampton in the league this season, Alex McCarthy and Angus Gunn saving some 62% of the faced shots on target.
Manchester City
The Citizens are still stuck in 2nd position but an impressive performance saw them beat champions Liverpool 4-0 at home on Thursday. Pep Guardiola have a point or two to prove before the end of the season and there's no sign of his team gearing down.
Statistics
There has been on average 3.56 goals scored in Manchester City's league games so far this season, 75% of the games adding up more than 2.5 goals in total.
There has been on average 3.56 goals scored in Manchester City's away games in the league so far this season, 69% of the games adding up more than 2.5 goals in total.
There has been on average 4.43 goals scored in Manchester City's away games against the bottom half teams so far this season; 100% of the games adding up more than 2.5 goals in total.
No other team have a better shoot percentage in the league this season, Manchester City scoring some 37% of the created shots on target.
Check out the Premier League table, upcoming fixtures and lots of other stats here!
Conclusion & Betting Tips
Southampton have a high total goals average at home against the top 6 teams this season.
Manchester City have a high total goals average at home against the bottom half teams this season.
For what it's worth, 4 of the 5 most recent matches between the two teams have ended with over 2.5 goals (on average 3.80 goals scored per game).
Betting Tip: Over 3 Goals.
Stake at 5/10 units.
