Chelsea - Watford: Blues to blunt vapid visitors

On Saturday night, Chelsea host Watford at Stamford Bridge.

Chelsea

The Blues are in hot pursuit of a Champions League spot. As I write, Frank Lampard's team hold 4th place with 54 points, just 1 point below Leicester in 3rd and 2 points clear of the chasing pack spearheaded by Wolverhampton and Manchester United (Chelsea having one game in hand though).

Statistics

Only Manchester City have conceded fewer shots than Chelsea so far this season, Chelsea conceding on average 8.58 shots per game. Only Liverpool have conceded fewer shots on target than Chelsea so far this season, Chelsea conceding on average 3.03 shots on target per game.
Looking at home games specifically, only Manchester City have conceded fewer shots than Chelsea so far this season, Chelsea conceding on average 6.81 shots per game. No other team have conceded fewer shots on target at home than Chelsea this season, Chelsea conceding on average 2.19 shots on target per game at Stamford Bridge.
Looking at home games against bottom half teams, no other team have conceded fewer shots on target on than Chelsea so far this season, the Hammersmith and Fulham outfit conceding on average 2.00 shots on target per game.

Watford

The Hornets hover 1 point above the drop zone, Watford having played one game more than most of the teams around them. After this very game, Nigel Pearson's team face relegation rivals Norwich and West Ham and also Newcastle and I believe Watford will prioritize approaching those games in one piece and with fresh legs rather than risking too much fighting the Russian dragon.

Statistics

Only 7 teams have created fewer shots than Watford so far this season, Watford creating on average 11.23 shots per game. Only Crystal Palace, Sheffield United and Bournemouth have created fewer shots on target than Watford so far this season, Watford creating on average 3.19 shots on target per game.
Looking at away games specifically, only 4 teams have created fewer shots and shots on target than Watford so far this season, Watford creating on average 8.75 shots and 2.88 shots on target per game.
Looking at away games against top half teams, only Newcastle have created fewer shots on target on the road than Watford so far this season, the Hertfordshire club creating on average 2.57 shots on target per game.

Check out more Premier League stats here!

Conclusion & Betting Tips

No other team have conceded fewer shots on target at home against bottom half teams than Chelsea so far this season.
Only one team have created fewer shots on target on the road against top half teams than Watford so far this season.
My Betting Tip is Total Goals by Away Team: Under 0.5.
Stake at 5/10 units.

Learn more about what a unit is.

Check out more odds on Chelsea - Watford here!