Leeds United - Luton Town: Home team keep it tight

Leeds United - Luton Town: Home team keep it tight

Published by Christoffer Segerhjelm, 28 June 2020

On Tuesday evening Leeds host Luton at Elland Road.

Leeds United

The Whites reclaimed top spot and solidified automatic promotion hopes after an impressive win against Fulham. Marcelo Bielsa's team have an 8 points cushion down to the play-off zone and chasing Brentford.

Statistics

No other team have conceded fewer shots and shots on target than Leeds so far this season, Leeds conceding on average 9.03 shots and 2.76 shots on target per game.
Counting home games only, no other team have conceded fewer shots and shots on target than Leeds so far this season, Leeds conceding on average 7.86 shots and 2.06 shots on target per game.
Looking at home games against bottom half and bottom 6 teams specifically, only Stoke have conceded marginally fewer shots on target on than Leeds so far this season, the West Yorkshire club conceding on average 2.00 and 1.60 shots on target per game respectively.

Leeds have kept a clean sheet in 46% of the league games so far this season.
Leeds have kept a clean sheet in 53% of the home games in the league so far this season.

Luton Town

The Hatters climbed to 23rd place after incapacitating and beating Swansea. With the wizard Nathan Jones back at the reins, things look brighter indeed and with a surmountable run-in I think Luton would be very happy defending 0-0 on Tuesday.

Statistics

No other team have created fewer shots and shots on target than Luton so far this season, Luton creating on average 9.50 shots and 2.84 shots on target per game.
Counting away games only, no other team have created fewer shots and shots on target than Luton so far this season, Luton creating on average 8.32 shots and 2.32 shots on target per game.
Looking at away games against top 6 teams specifically, only Fulham(!) have created fewer shots on target than Luton so far this season, the Bedfordshire outfit creating on average 1.80 shots on target per game.

Luton have failed to score in 28% of the league games so far this season.
Luton have failed to score in 40% of the away games in the league so far this season.

Examine the Championship table, upcoming fixtures and lots of other stats here!

Conclusion & Betting Tips

Leeds is the team conceding the fewest number of shots and shots on target when facing bottom half and bottom 6 teams at home.
Luton is one of the teams creating the fewest number of shots and shots on target when facing top 6 teams on the road.
I'm keeping the stake a bit below average due to the recent return of manager Nathan Jones to Luton.
My Betting Tip is Away Team Exact Goals: 0.
Stake at 3.75/10 units.

Learn more about what a unit is.

Check out more odds on Leeds - Luton here!

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