On Saturday, Leeds host Fulham at Elland Road in a game that could prove to be really significant for the automatic promotion race. Leeds reside in 2nd place with 71 points while Fulham occupy 3rd spot with 64 points. I believe this will be quite a restrained and low scoring game, both teams trying to edge out a narrow win without risking too much.

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Statistics

Both teams tend to play out rather low scoring games.
When facing teams from the top of the table at home, Leeds have one of the very lowest total goals average in the league.
When facing teams from the top of the table on the road, Fulham have one of the lowest total goals average in the league.

Leeds

There has been on average 2.32 goals scored in Leeds' league games so far this season, 71% of the games adding up less than 2.5 goals in total.
There has been on average 2.17 goals scored in Leeds' home games in the league so far this season, 78% of the games adding up less than 2.5 goals in total.
There has been on average 1.50 goals scored in Leeds' home games against top-6 teams so far this season, 100% of the games adding up less than 2.5 goals in total.

No other team have conceded fewer shots or shots on target than Leeds this season.

Only Wigan and Barnsley have a worse shoot percentage than Leeds so far this season, the West Yorkshire club only scoring some 28% of the created shots on target.
However, Leeds do have one of the highest save percentages in the league, Illan Meslier and Francisco Casilla saving some 70% of the faced shots on target.

Fulham

There has been on average 2.42 goals scored in Fulham's league games so far this season, 55% of the games adding up less than 2.5 goals in total.
There has been on average 2.06 goals scored in Fulham's away games in the league so far this season, 72% of the games adding up less than 2.5 goals in total.
There has been on average 2.00 goals scored in Fulham's away games against top-6 teams so far this season, 50% of the games adding up less than 2.5 goals in total.

Only 5 teams have conceded fewer shots or shots on target than Fulham this season.

Only Wigan, Barnsley and Leeds have a worse shoot percentage than Fulham so far this season, the London outfit only scoring some 29% of the created shots on target.
Fulham too have one of the highest save percentages in the league, Marcus Bettinelli and Marek Rodak saving some 71% of the faced shots on target.

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Conclusion & Betting Tips

Both teams rely heavily on defensive strength and both teams display a low total goals average when facing other teams from the top of the table. I believe this will be quite a restrained and low scoring game, both teams trying to edge out a narrow win without risking too much.
Betting Tip: Under 2.5 Goals.
Stake at 7.5/10 units.

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All bets

Under 2.50 goals

Leeds United - Fulham FC

LeoVegas -104
7.50 u
  • -7.50 u
    Result