Werder Bremen - Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Troubled and unable home team

With the return of the Bundesliga this weekend, football life is slowly reverting back to some sort of normality. I believe one of the best betting opportunities this round is to be found when Werder Bremen face Bayer 04 Leverkusen at the Weserstadion on Monday evening.

Werder Bremen

The holders of the record for most seasons played in the Bundesliga is in grave danger of dropping down to the second tier for the first time since a temporary slip-up in 1981. Florian Kohfeldt's team find themselves in 17:th place, 8 points adrift safe ground and 4 points adrift the lifeline of the relegation play-off spot.

Statistics

Only Fortuna Düsseldorf have scored fewer goals than Bremen so far this season, Bremen scoring on average 1.13 goals per game. Looking at home games specifically, no other team have scored fewer goals than Bremen so far this season, Bremen scoring on average 0.73 goals per game at Weserstadion.
Only Hertha and Fortuna Düsseldorf have created fewer shots on target than Bremen so far this season, Bremen creating on average 4.17 shots on target per game. The shots data is particularly eye-catching when Bremen have faced other top teams at Weserstadion: Bremen only managed 1 shot on target when facing RB Leipzig back in September and only managed 2 shots on target when facing Borussia Dortmund in February (Bremen failed to score in both games).
Indeed, no other team display a worse shoot percentage than Bremen this season, the pride of the Free Hanseatic City of Bremen scoring only 27% of the shots on target. Looking at home games exclusively, the numbers are shocking: Bremen scoring a mere 15% of the shots on target.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Leverkusen is one of five teams competing for four Champions League spots. The reds under Peter Bosz is currently in 5:th place, only 4 points separating them from Borussia Dortmund in 2nd place.

Statistics

Only FC Bayern Munich and RB Leipzig have conceded fewer goals than Leverkusen so far this season, Leverkusen conceding on average 1.20 goals per game. Looking at games against bottom 6 teams specifically, no other team have conceded fewer goals than Leverkusen so far this season, Leverkusen conceding on average 0.50 goals per game.
Only 4 teams have conceded fewer shots on target than Leverkusen so far this season, Leverkusen conceding on average 4.32 shots on target per game.
Only 3 teams display a better save percentage than Leverkusen this season, Lukáš Hrádecký saving some 72% of the faced shots on target.

Check out more Bundesliga stats here!

Conclusion & Betting Tips

Bremen is one of the teams creating the fewest shots on target and scoring the fewest goals in the league, especially when facing top teams.
Leverkusen is one of the teams conceding the fewest shots on target and also conceding the fewest goals in the league, especially when facing teams from the bottom of the table.
My Betting Tip is Total Goals by Home Team: Under 0.5.
Stake at 5/10 units.

Check out more odds on Werder Bremen - Bayer 04 Leverkusen here!