AGO
AGO have a very interesting team dynamic considering from my knowledge they was the first team to run a roster more than the core 5. Astralis have also recently done this with the signing of es3tag and they maybe even found the idea from AGO.
Another interesting dynamic of their game today is that they've subbed out old in game leader Sidney and replaced him with Oskarish. When teams have new leaders they obviously get a new way of playing and they'll be a big difference in the way they play from the last time we watched them play. With this being said it can be a good thing or a bad thing and only time will tell.
Secret
Last year in ECS Secret had some really impressive results. They beat mousesports 2-1, lost 1-2 to Nip and went overtime in a map vs Astralis but still lost 2-0. These 3 teams are some of the best teams in the world and Secret put up great performances against all 3 and at the time was basically a team of no namers that was expected to get destroyed by all 3 of these teams.
Since then they've done a few changes with their 5th player however the core 4 has stayed the same, they replaced Rigon with Happy for a few months and then recently have just replaced happy with PERCY. Since PERCY has joined Secret are yet to drop a match taking 2 wins over Singularity and a win over BLUEJAYS and PERCY is on average the best player across all 3 matches. In the past the 5th player in this team have always stuggled and maybe a player like PERCY is what they needed.
My Bet Reasoning
Simply put we're priced in at 2.75, for this to be a profitable bet they need to be taking the match 36.4% of the time which I don't think there's an arguement that they don't considering it's a complete unknown how AGO will play under new leadership without Sidney playing.
Secret have shown us they can be up there with the top teams in the world and I expect no different here, even if Secret do lose I don't expect a blowout and at the very minimum a really close game.
Bet: Secret ML @ 2.75
League: LOOT.BET
Bookmaker: bet365
Units: 1/3
