Nottingham Forest - Millwall: A shortage of goals

Nottingham Forest - Millwall: A shortage of goals

Published by Christoffer Segerhjelm, 6 March 2020

Nottingham Forest host Millwall at City Ground on Friday evening.

Nottingham Forest

The East Midlands club is fighting for a top 6 spot, Sabri Lamouchi's men currently in 4th place.

Statistics

Only Luton, Middlesbrough and Bristol City have created fewer shots on target than Forest so far in the Championship this season, Forest creating on average 3.34 shots on target per game.

Looking at the season so far, Forest concede around the league average of shots on target in the Championship.
However, no other team have a better save percentage than Forest so far in the Championship this season, Forest saving 76% of the created shots on target.

Three’s been on average 2.12 goals scored in Forest's home games this season, 65% of the home games adding up less than 2.50 goals.
41% of Forest's home games this season have seen the score line 0-0 at half-time.

Form

Forest have mustered 6 points in the last 5 games, scoring 5 and conceding 5 goals in the process (under 2.5 goals scored in 3 of 5 games).
Looking at the last 4 games, Forest have created on average 2.33 shots on target per game - one of the worst attacking numbers in the league right now. In the same time span, Forest have conceded on average 5.33 shots on target per game - slightly above the average in the league right now.

Millwall

The Lions are still within reach of a play-off spot, Gary Rowett's team currently 5 points adrift Preston in 6th place.

Statistics

Only 4 teams have created fewer shots than Millwall so far in the Championship this season, Millwall creating on average 11.17 shots per game. Only 8 teams have created fewer shots on target than Millwall so far in the Championship this season, Millwall creating on average 3.75 shots on target per game.

Looking at the season so far, Millwall concede around the league average of shots on target in the Championship.
However, only Forest and Reading have a better save percentage than Millwall so far in the Championship this season, Millwall saving 73% of the created shots on target.

Three’s been on average 2.11 goals scored in Millwall's away games this season, 72% of the away games adding up less than 2.50 goals.
56% of Millwall's away games this season have seen the score line 0-0 at half-time.

Form

Millwall have gathered 6 points in the last 5 games, scoring 3 goals and conceding 3 goals in the process (under 2.5 goals scored in 5 of 5 games).
Looking at the last 4 games, Millwall have created on average 3.50 shots on target per game - below the average in the league right now. In the same time span, the South East London outfit have conceded on average 1.50 shots on target per game - the best defensive numbers in the league right now.

Check out more Championship stats here!

Conclusion & Betting Tips

Both teams display a solid defensive game and quite a few stats suggest we're in for a shortage of goals here.
Betting Tip: Under 2.25 Goals.
Stake at 5/10 units.
Betting Tip: Under 0.50 Goals (1st Half).
Stake at maximum 2.50/10 units.

Check out more odds on Nottingham Forest - Millwall here!

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