Fleetwood Town will make the short trip south to face Tranmere Rovers at Prenton Park on Saturday.
I believe the odds market overestimate the prospect of a goal to be scored by the home team.
Tranmere Rovers
Super White Army reside in 21st place, 5 points adrift safe ground. I recon Micky Mellon and his team will be defending 1 point rather than gambling for 3 points against high-flying Fleetwood.
Statistics
Only 7 teams have created fewer shots than Tranmere so far in League One this season, Tranmere creating on average 11.71 shots per game. 10 teams have created fewer shots on target than Tranmere so far in League One this season, Tranmere creating on average 3.71 shots on target per game. However, recent weeks tell a somewhat extreme story as we'll explore in just a moment.
Only Shrewsbury have a worse shoot percentage than Tranmere so far in League One this season, Tranmere scoring an appalling 25% of the created shots on target.
Form
Looking at the last 4 games, Tranmere have created on average 11.50 shots per game - one of the worst attacking numbers in the league right now. In the same time span, Tranmere have created on average 1.75 shots on target per game - by some distance the worst attacking numbers in the league right now.
Fleetwood Town
The Cod army pursue a play-off spot (or possibly even an automatic promotion spot), missing out on goal difference right now but with a game in hand.
Statistics
Only 4 teams have conceded fewer shots than Fleetwood so far in League One this season, Fleetwood conceding on average 10.06 shots per game. No other team have conceded fewer shots on target than Fleetwood so far in League One this season, Fleetwood conceding on average 2.71 shots on target per game.
Form
Looking at the last 4 games, Fleetwood have conceded on average 10.25 shots per game - one of the best defensive numbers in the league right now. In the same time span, Fleetwood have conceded on average 1.50 shots on target per game - by some distance the best defensive numbers in the league right now.
Check out more League One stats here!
Conclusion & Betting Tips
In recent weeks, Tranmere is one of the teams creating the fewest shots and shots on target in League One. Tranmere also display the second-worst shoot percentage in the league.
Fleetwood is one of the teams conceding the fewest shots and shots on target in League One and have been displaying the best defensive numbers in the league in recent weeks.
My Betting Tip is Total Goals by Home Team: Under 0.5.
Stake at 6.25/10 units.
Check out more odds on Tranmere Rovers - Fleetwood Town here!
