Norwich City - Leicester City: Quite a few figures in favour of the Foxes

Leicester City travel east on Friday to face Norwich City at Carrow Road.
In this particular football betting tip, I fancy the away team and the Asian handicap market and I believe that the odds market underestimate the prospect of an away win. I expect the odds on the away-markets to drop slowly between now and kick-off, so get on board sooner rather than later!
Read on for reasoning and prediction!

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Norwich City

The Canaries face a grim conclusion to the season, Daniel Farke's team being rock bottom of the table 7 points adrift safe ground.

Statistics

8 teams have created fewer shots than Norwich so far in the Premier League this season, Norwich creating on average 11.73 shots per game. Only 6 teams have created fewer shots on target than Norwich so far in the Premier League this season, Norwich creating on average 3.85 shots on target per game.

Only 3 teams have conceded more shots than Norwich so far in the Premier League this season, Norwich conceding on average 15.31 shots per game. Only Newcastle and Aston Villa have conceded more shots on target than Norwich so far in the Premier League this season, the Norfolk club conceding on average 5.42 shots on target per game.

Looking at games against top half and top 5 teams specifically, Norwich display one of the worst shots on target differences in the league:

Also, no other team have a worse shoot percentage than Norwich so far in the Premier League this season, Norwich only scoring an appalling 24% of the shots on target. Only 5 teams have a worse save percentage than Norwich so far in the Premier League this season, Norwich saving a modest 66% of the faced shots on target.

Form

Looking at the last 4 games, Norwich have created on average 3.00 shots on target per game - one of the worst attacking numbers in the league right now. In the same time span, Norwich have conceded on average 4.25 shots on target per game - above the average defensive numbers in the league right now.

Leicester City

The Foxes are enjoying a solid and impressive season, Brendan Rodgers squad residing in 3rd place grasping a Champions League spot by a 9-point margin.

Statistics

Only 4 teams have created more shots and shots on target than Leicester so far in the Premier League this season, Leicester creating on average 13.77 shots and 5.35 shots on target per game. Interestingly enough, Leicester create even more shots on target when on the road: on average 5.92 shots on target per game.

Only 5 teams have conceded fewer shots and shots on target than Leicester so far in the Premier League this season, the Leicestershire outfit conceding on average 10.58 shots and 3.69 shots on target per game.

Looking at games against bottom half and bottom 5 teams specifically, Leicester display one of the best shots on target differences in the league:

Also, no other team have a better shoot percentage than Leicester so far in the Premier League this season, Leicester scoring 39% of the shots on target. Only 5 teams have a better save percentage than Leicester so far in the Premier League this season, Leicester saving 73% of the faced shots on target.

Form

Looking at the last 4 games, Leicester have created on average 5.75 shots on target per game - one of the best attacking numbers in the league right now. During those very games Leicester have conceded on average 3.25 shots on target per game - one of the best defensive numbers in the league right now.

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Conclusion & Betting Tips

Norwich is one of the teams creating the fewest and conceding the most shots and shots on target in the Premier League. They have one of the worst track records in the league against top half and top 5 teams.
Leicester is one of the teams creating the most and conceding the fewest shots and shots on target in the Premier League. They have one of the best track records in the league against bottom half and bottom 5 teams.
My Betting Tip is Leicester -0.75 (Asian Handicap).
Stake at 7.5/10 units.

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