Burnley - Bournemouth: Capable Clarets to conquer crummy Cherries

Burnley host Bournemouth at Turf Moor on Saturday.

Burnley

The Clarets are within reach of a top half spot, Sean Dyche's team claiming 10 points from the last 5 games.

Statistics

When at Turf Moor, Burnley create and concede around the league average of shots on target so far this season (Burnley creating on average 3.92 and conceding on average 4.31 shots on target per game).
When facing bottom half teams at home this season, Burnley have won the shots on target count in 5 out of 6 games (Burnley creating on average 5.17 and conceding on average 2.83 shots on target per game).
In fact, only Chelsea, Manchester United, Everton, Liverpool, Manchester City and Leicester display a better shots on target difference when facing bottom half teams at home this season.

Form

Looking at the last 4 games, Burnley have created on average 3.75 shots on target per game - around the average attacking numbers in the league right now. In the same time span, Burnley have conceded on average 4.75 shots on target per game - slightly above the average defensive numbers in the league right now.
I would argue these are pretty impressive numbers since the last 4 games were against Leicester, Manchester United, Arsenal and Southampton.

Bournemouth

The Cherries did stall the drop towards the relegation zone with home wins over Brighton and Aston Villa. Eddie Howe's men were a bit lucky though and performance-wise things look worrying indeed for the Dorset club.

Statistics

Only 5 teams create fewer and concede more shots on target on the road than Bournemouth so far this season (Bournemouth creating on average 3.00 and conceding on average 5.23 shots on target per game).
When facing bottom half teams on the road this season, Bournemouth have lost the shots on target count in 6 out of 7 games (Bournemouth creating on average 3.13 and conceding on average 5.63 shots on target per game).
In fact, no other team display a worse shots on target difference when facing bottom half teams away from home this season.

Form

Looking at the last 4 games, Bournemouth have created on average 3.50 shots on target per game - below the average attacking numbers in the league right now. During those very games Bournemouth have conceded on average 6.00 shots on target per game - the worst defensive numbers in the league right now.
Pretty abysmal numbers since the last 4 games were against Norwich, Brighton, Aston Villa and Sheffield United.

Check out more Premier League stats here!

Conclusion & Betting Tips

Burnley have a good performance record against bottom half teams so far this season and are high on motivation after an impressive run of games against distinguished opposition.
Bournemouth have a really poor performance record against bottom half teams so far this season, and despite securing 6 points in recent games the quality on the pitch has been quite disappointing.
My Betting Tip is: Burnley.
Stake at 7.5/10 units.

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