Aston Villa - Tottenham Hotspur: Superior Spurs

Aston Villa host Tottenham Hotspur at Villa Park on Sunday.

Aston Villa

The Lions face a hard and torturous finish to the season. Dean Smith's team are just 1 point clear of the relegation zone and put up a good fight against fellow bottom half teams. But the Birmingham club have a terrible record against top half teams and 9 of the remaining 13 games this season are against top half teams.

Statistics

Aston Villa create around the league average of shots and shots on target so far in the Premier League this season.

No other team have conceded more shots than Aston Villa so far in the Premier League this season, Aston Villa conceding on average 17.60 shots per game. Only 3 teams have conceded more shots on target than Aston Villa so far in the Premier League this season, Aston Villa conceding on average 5.26 shots on target per game.

Looking at games against top half teams specifically, only Burnley and Newcastle have a worse shots on target difference than Aston Villa.

Form

Looking at the last 4 games, Aston Villa have created on average 3.50 shots on target per game - one of the worst attacking numbers in the league right now. In the same time span, Aston Villa have conceded on average 5.50 shots on target per game - one of the worst defensive numbers in the league right now. Pretty miserable numbers since three of the games were against fellow bottom third teams Brighton, Watford and Bournemouth.

Tottenham Hotspur

The Lilywhites look set to salvage something from a season starting so ominous, the North London club now 2 points adrift a Europa League spot and just 4 points adrift a Champions League spot. José Mourinho have managed to stabilize things to some extent and new lineup contributors Japhet Tanganga, Giovani Lo Celso and Steven Bergwijn bring energy and creativity to the table.

Statistics

Tottenham create and concede around the league average of shots and shots on target so far in the Premier League this season.

However: looking at games against bottom 5 teams specifically, only Manchester City and Liverpool have a better shots on target difference on the road than Tottenham.

Form

Looking at the last 4 games, Tottenham have created on average 3.75 shots on target per game - around the average attacking numbers in the league right now. During those very games Tottenham have conceded on average 4.00 shots on target per game - around the average defensive numbers in the league right now. Pretty decent numbers since two of the games were against Liverpool and Manchester City.

Check out more Premier League stats here!

Conclusion & Betting Tips

Aston Villa is one of the teams conceding the most shots and shots on target in the Premier League. They are on a bad run of form and have one of the worst track records in the league against top half teams.
Tottenham are on a decent run of form and have one of the best track records in the league against bottom 5 teams.
My Betting Tip is Tottenham.
Stake at 5/10 units.

Check out more odds on Aston Villa - Tottenham Hotspur here!