Bristol City Women - Reading Women: Underrated Royals

Reading Women travel west to face Bristol City Women at Stoke Gifford Stadium on Sunday. I believe the bookmakers underestimate the away team somewhat.

Bristol City Women

The Vixens are going through a rough season, currently rock bottom of the table. The underlying numbers look pretty woeful and Tanya Oxtoby's team might very well be fighting in the FA Women's Championship next season.

Statistics

No other team have created fewer shots or shots on target than Bristol City so far in the Women's Super League this season, Bristol City creating on average 7.0 shots and 2.9 shots on target per game.
No other team have conceded more shots or shots on target than Bristol City so far in the Women's Super League this season, Bristol City conceding on average 21.3 shots and 8.7 shots on target per game.

Looking at home games specifically, the numbers look just as bleak.
No other team have created fewer shots or shots on target at home than Bristol City so far in the Women's Super League this season, Bristol City creating on average 6.8 shots and 2.7 shots on target per game.
No other team have conceded more shots or shots on target at home than Bristol City so far in the Women's Super League this season, the South West England club conceding on average 18.2 shots and 7.3 shots on target per game.

Any way you look at it, Bristol City produce the worst attacking and defensive numbers in the league:

Bristol City also produce the worst shots on target difference against top half teams.

Reading Women

The Royals are aiming for a third consecutive top half finish since winning promotion from the second tier in 2015, Kelly Chambers' team currently occupying 6th spot.

Statistics

Only 4 teams have created more shots or shots on target than Reading so far in the Women's Super League this season, Reading creating on average 13.1 shots and 5.2 shots on target per game.
Only 4 teams have conceded fewer shots or shots on target than Reading so far in the Women's Super League this season, Reading conceding on average 11.3 shots and 4.5 shots on target per game.

Looking at away games specifically, the numbers look comparatively even better.
Only 3 teams have created more shots or shots on target on the road than Reading so far in the Women's Super League this season, Reading creating on average 10.7 shots and 5.3 shots on target per game.
Only 3 teams have conceded fewer shots or shots on target on the road than Reading so far in the Women's Super League this season, the Buckinghamshire outfit conceding on average 12.5 shots and 5.0 shots on target per game.

Overall, Reading produce above average attacking and defensive numbers in the league:

Only Chelsea and Manchester City produce a better shots on target difference than Reading against bottom half teams.

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Conclusion & Betting Tips

Bristol City is the team creating the fewest and conceding the most shots and shots on target in Women's Super League so far this season, also at home and against top half teams.
Reading is one of the teams creating the most and conceding the fewest shots and shots on target in Women's Super League so far this season, especially on the road and against bottom half teams.
My Betting Tip is Reading Women -1 (EH).
Stake at 5/10 units.

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