Arsenal host Sheffield United at Emirates Stadium on Saturday.
I expect the odds on the under-markets to drop steadily during the week, so get on board sooner rather than later!
Arsenal
The Gunners are treading water at 10th place, now 11 points below the Champions League spots. Things look more stable under new manager Mikel Arteta and brighter days might be on the horizon.
Statistics
Arsenal create around the average number of shots and shots on target at home so far in the Premier League this season, Arsenal creating on average 13.36.86 shots and 4.73 shots on target per game.
Only 3 teams have conceded more shots at home than Arsenal so far in the Premier League this season, Arsenal conceding on average 15.27 shots per game.
Only Norwich have conceded more shots on target at home than Arsenal so far in the Premier League this season, the Islington club conceding on average 6.09 shots on target per game.
Three’s been on average 3.09 goals scored in Arsenal's home games this season, only 27% of the home games adding up less than 2.50 goals.
However, since his first game in charge on 26 December 2019 new manager Arteta has tightened up the defense at the expense of the attack.
Under Arteta, Arsenal have created on average 10.25 shots and 3.00 shots on target per game which is significantly lower than before (12.00 shots and 4.22 shots on target per game).
Under Arteta, Arsenal have conceded on average 10.25 shots and 3.75 shots on target per game which is also significantly lower than before (16.00 shots and 5.44 shots on target per game).
Form
Arsenal have mustered 6 points in the last 5 games, scoring 5 goals and conceding 4 goals in the process (under 2.5 goals scored in 4 of 5 games).
Looking at the last 5 games, Arsenal have created on average 2.80 shots on target per game - one of the worst attacking numbers in the league right now. In the same time span, Arsenal have conceded on average 3.00 shots on target per game - below the average in the league right now.
Furthermore: Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, Arsenal's most potent goal scorer, will miss the game against Sheffield United due to a red card after a reckless tackle on Max Meyer.
Sheffield United
The Blades are exceeding all expectations so far this season, holding 6th place right now. In fact, Chris Wilder's men are just 3 points from a Europa League spot.
Statistics
Only Crystal Palace and Newcastle have created fewer shots on the road than Sheffield United so far in the Premier League this season, Sheffield United creating on average 7.91 shots per game. Only Burnley have created fewer shots on target on the road than Sheffield United so far in the Premier League this season, Sheffield United creating on average 2.55 shots on target per game.
Only 8 teams have conceded fewer shots on the road than Sheffield United so far in the Premier League this season, Sheffield United conceding on average 13.64 shots per game. Only Liverpool, Wolverhampton and Manchester United have conceded fewer shots on target on the road than Sheffield United so far in the Premier League this season, the Yorkshire outfit conceding on average 3.82 shots on target per game.
There’s been on average 2.00 goals scored in Sheffield United's away games this season, 82% of the away games adding up less than 2.50 goals.
Form
Sheffield United have amassed 7 points in the last 5 games, scoring 3 goals and conceding 5 goals in the process (under 2.5 goals scored in 5 of 5 games).
Looking at the last 5 games, Sheffield United have created on average 2.20 shots on target per game - one of the worst attacking numbers in the league right now. In the same time span, Sheffield United have conceded on average 3.40 shots on target per game - below the average in the league right now. The 5 games include away games to Manchester City and Liverpool!
Check out more Premier League stats here!
Conclusion & Betting Tips
Both teams display a relatively tame attacking game while adding a resolute defensive game as of late. The trend suggest there may be shortage of goals in this one.
My Betting Tip is Under 2.50 Goals.
Stake at 7.5/10 units.
