Crystal Palace - Arsenal: An ‘unexpected’ shortage of goals

Crystal Palace host Arsenal at Selhurst Park early on Saturday. When looking at the H2H stats one might think a lot of goals is pretty much guaranteed - the six most recent games between the two London clubs have all comprised 3 or more goals, on average 4.33 goals per game.
However, more recent numbers suggest the market as likely as not overestimate the prospect of goals. I expect the odds on the under-market to drop steadily during the week.

Crystal Palace

The Eagles have had a bright first half of the season, occupying 9:th place with 28 points from 21 games.

Statistics

No other team have created fewer shots than Crystal Palace so far in the Premier League this season, Crystal Palace creating on average 9.86 shots per game. Only Watford have created fewer shots on target than Crystal Palace so far in the Premier League this season, Crystal Palace creating on average 3.24 shots on target per game.

9 teams have conceded fewer shots on target than Crystal Palace so far in the Premier League this season, the South London club conceding on average 4.33 shots on target per game.

Three’s been on average 1.80 goals scored in Crystal Palace's home games this season, 80% of the home games adding up less than 2.50 goals.

Form

Crystal Palace have mustered 6 points in the last 5 games, scoring 5 goals and conceding 5 goals in the process (under 2.5 goals scored in 4 of 5 games).
Looking at the last 4 games, Crystal Palace have created on average 3.25 shots on target per game - below the average in the league right now. In the same time span, Roy Hodgson's team have conceded on average 3.50 shots on target per game - below the average in the league right now.

Arsenal

The Gunners have endured a troubled first half of the season, picking up 27 points from 21 games and claiming a top half spot by the finest of margins.

Statistics

8 teams have created fewer shots than Arsenal so far in the Premier League this season, Arsenal creating on average 11.90 shots per game. Only 6 teams have created fewer shots on target than Arsenal so far in the Premier League this season, Arsenal creating on average 4.00 shots on target per game.

The only slightly worrying stat is Arsenal's defensive numbers. Only 3 teams have conceded more shots than Arsenal so far in the Premier League this season, Arsenal conceding on average 15.38 shots per game. Only 3 teams have conceded more shots on target than Arsenal so far in the Premier League this season, the North London outfit conceding on average 5.24 shots on target per game.
However, there's been an improvement under new manager Mikel Arteta as we'll explore in few moments.

There’s been on average 2.40 goals scored in Arsenal's away games this season, 60% of the away games adding up less than 2.50 goals.

Form

Arsenal have amassed 5 points in the last 5 games, scoring 4 goals and conceding 6 goals in the process (under 2.5 goals scored in 3 of 5 games).
Looking at the last 4 games, Arsenal have created on average 2.50 shots on target per game - one of the worst attacking numbers in the league right now. In the same time span, the Islington team have conceded on average 3.00 shots on target per game - below the average in the league right now.

Check out more Premier League stats here!

Conclusion & Betting Tips

Both teams display a relatively tame attacking game while adding a resolute defensive game as of late. The trend suggest there may be a shortage of goals in this one.
My Betting Tip is Under 2.50 Goals.
Stake at 7.5/10 units.

Check out more odds on Crystal Palace - Arsenal here!