Derby County - Barnsley: Divergent trends in favour of the Tykes

Barnsley make the short trip south to face Derby County at Pride Park Stadium on Thursday Evening.

Derby County

The Rams are going through a rough season, dwelling in 17:th spot at the moment. Maybe new manager Phillip Cocu find it difficult to transmit his highly successful ideas from the Dutch Eredivisie where he won 65% of his games in charge of PSV, recording a 20% win rate at Turkish Fenerbahçe and now a 29% win rate at Derby.

Statistics

Only 5 team have created fewer shots than Derby so far in the Championship this season, Derby creating on average 11.13 shots per game. Only 6 teams have created fewer shots on target than Derby so far in the Championship this season, Derby creating on average 3.54 shots on target per game.
Only 7 teams have conceded more shots than Derby so far in the Championship this season, Derby conceding on average 13.21 shots per game. 10 teams have conceded more shots on target than Derby so far in the Championship this season, the East Midlands club conceding on average 4.08 shots on target per game.

Looking at the 4 most recent games, Derby created on average 3.33 shots on target per game - below the average in the league right now. At the same time, Derby have conceded 4.33 shots on target per game - above the average in the league right now.
That include games against bottom half teams Charlton, Wigan and Reading.

Barnsley

The Tykes are picking up speed after a poor start to the season. Gerhard Struber's side is accumulating 1.33 points per games since his appointment in November, quite a good recipe for staying up.

Statistics

Only 2 team have created more shots than Barnsley so far in the Championship this season, Barnsley creating on average 14.04 shots per game. Only 8 teams have created more shots on target than Barnsley so far in the Championship this season, Barnsley creating on average 4.20 shots on target per game.

Barnsley concede around the average numbers of shots so far in the Championship this season. Only Luton have conceded more shots on target than Barnsley so far in the Championship this season, the South Yorkshire club conceding on average 4.88 shots on target per game. However, that's mostly due to the poor start to the season.
Looking at the 4 most recent games, Barnsley created on average 5.50 shots on target per game - one of the best attacking numbers in the league right now. In the same time span, Barnsley have conceded 3.50 shots on target per game - below the average in the league right now. That include games against top half teams Millwall, West Brom and Swansea.

Check out more Championship stats here!

Conclusion & Betting Tips

As I see it, this is a clash between two teams with quite divergent trends, Derby producing some poor numbers against bottom half teams while Barnsley parade strong numbers against top half teams.
My Betting Tip is Barnsley +0 (AH).
Stake at 5/10 units.

Check out more odds on Derby County - Barnsley here!