West Ham - Arsenal: Bad shape vs Bad shape

West Ham host Arsenal at London Stadium on Monday evening. In a London derby featuring two of the three teams displaying the worst form in the Premier League right now I think it's interesting to side with the underdogs here.

West Ham

The Irons occupy 16:th spot with 16 points from 15 games.

Statistics

6 teams have created more shots on target than West Ham so far in the Premier League this season, West Ham creating on average 4.67 shots on target per game.
Only Norwich have conceded more shots on target than West Ham so far in the Premier League this season, West Ham conceding on average 4.00 shots on target per game.

Looking at the last 4 games, West Ham have created on average 3.80 shots on target per game - below the league average of 4.95 shots on target created per game. During those very games West Ham have conceded on average 7.80 shots on target per game - above the league average of 4.95 shots on target conceded per game. However, this includes games against Tottenham, Chelsea and Wolverhampton from the top half of the table.

Arsenal

The Gunners reside in 11:th place with 19 points from 15 games.

Statistics

7 teams have created more shots on target than Arsenal so far in the Premier League this season, Arsenal creating on average 4.64 shots on target per game.
Only 3 teams have conceded more shots on target than Arsenal so far in the Premier League this season, Arsenal conceding on average 5.57 shots on target per game.

Looking at the last 4 games, Arsenal have created on average 4.30 shots on target per game - below the league average of 4.95 shots on target created per game. In the same time span Arsenal have conceded on average 7.00 shots on target per game - above the league average of 4.95 shots on target conceded per game. This includes games against Southampton, Norwich and Brighton from the bottom half of the table.

Check out more Premier League stats here!

Conclusion & Betting Tips

Both teams produce similar numbers, over 15 games as well as 4 games. In the last 3 games West Ham has accumulated 3 points against teams from the top half of the table while Arsenal has salvaged 2 points against teams from the bottom half of the table.
My Betting Tip is Over West Ham +0.25 (AH).
Stake at 5/10 units.

Check out more odds on West Ham - Arsenal here!