Aston Villa - Newcastle United: A home win engineered by in-form McGinn

Aston Villa host Newcastle United at Villa Park on Monday evening.

Aston Villa

Dean Smith's Villans find themselves in 17:th place with 11 points from 12 games. The underlying numbers aren't that bad though, and the Birmingham club can spring a surprise or two for sure.

Statistics

Only 6 teams have created more shots than Aston Villa so far in the Premier League this season, Aston Villa creating on average 13.42 shots per game. Only 3 teams have created more shots on target than Aston Villa so far in the Premier League this season, Aston Villa creating on average 5.33 shots on target per game.
No other team have conceded more shots than Aston Villa so far in the Premier League this season, Aston Villa conceding on average 19.08 shots per game. 8 teams have conceded more shots on target than Aston Villa so far in the Premier League this season, Aston Villa conceding on average 4.75 shots on target per game.

Looking at home games specifically, 9 teams have created more shots than Aston Villa so far in the Premier League this season, Aston Villa creating on average 14.00 shots per game. 11 teams have created more shots on target than Aston Villa so far in the Premier League this season, Aston Villa creating on average 4.67 shots on target per game (which is close to the league average 4.75 shots on target per game).
Only 2 teams have conceded more shots at home than Aston Villa so far in the Premier League this season, Aston Villa conceding on average 15.33 shots per game. However, only 6 teams have conceded fewer shots on target at home than Aston Villa so far in the Premier League this season, the West Midlands club conceding on average 3.33 shots on target per game (which is better than the league average 4.17 shots on target per game).

The one player creating the most shots in Aston Villa is midfielder John McGinn, the Scotsman creating on average 2.8 shots per game. Only winger Trézéguet and forward Wesley have created marginally more shots inside the penalty area (1.3 per game to McGinn's 1.2 per game). McGinn will be full of confidence returning from international duty with Scotland, scoring once last Saturday and twice on Tuesday.

Newcastle United

The Magpies are off to a decent start to the season, residing at 13:th place with 15 points from 12 games. Nonetheless, the performance data under Steve Bruce's reign is rather bleak.

Statistics

Only 2 teams have created fewer shots than Newcastle so far in the Premier League this season, Newcastle creating on average 10.33 shots per game. Only 2 teams have created fewer shots on target than Newcastle so far in the Premier League this season, Newcastle creating on average 3.33 shots on target per game.
6 teams have conceded more shots than Newcastle so far in the Premier League this season, Newcastle conceding on average 14.67 shots per game. 9 teams have conceded more shots on target than Newcastle so far in the Premier League this season, Newcastle conceding on average 4.75 shots on target per game.

Looking at away games exclusively, only Crystal Palace have created fewer shots than Newcastle so far in the Premier League this season, Newcastle creating on average 7.67 shots per game. Only Norwich have created fewer shots on target than Newcastle so far in the Premier League this season, Newcastle creating on average 2.67 shots on target per game (which is quite some distance from the league average 4.17 shots on target per game).
Only 5 teams have conceded more shots on the road than Newcastle so far in the Premier League this season, Newcastle conceding on average 16.33 shots per game. Only 3 teams have conceded more shots on target on the road than Newcastle so far in the Premier League this season, the North East England club conceding on average 6.33 shots on target per game (which is worse than the league average 4.75 shots on target per game).

Check out more Premier League stats here!

Conclusion & Betting Tips

Aston Villa is actually one of the teams creating the most and conceding the fewest shots on target in the Premier League, especially at home.
Newcastle is one of the teams creating the fewest and conceding the most shots and shots on target in the Premier League, especially on the road.
My First Betting Tip is Aston Villa.
Stake at 3.75/10 units.
My Second Betting Tip is John McGinn to Score.
Stake at 1.25/10 units.

Check out more odds on Aston Villa - Newcastle United here!