Liverpool will host Manchester City at Anfield on Sunday evening.

Goals or no goals - that's the question

There are quite a few stats indicating we'll be seeing a lot of goals on Sunday.

  • Liverpool have scored at least 2 goals in their last 12 home games in the Premier League.
  • There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 9 of Liverpool's last 11 games in the Premier League.
  • Manchester City have scored at least 2 goals in 11 of their last 12 games in the Premier League.
  • There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 10 of Manchester City's last 12 games in the Premier League.

Liverpool and Manchester City are indeed the strongest and most potent sides in the Premier League when it comes to scoring goals. However, they are also the strongest and most solid sides in the Premier League when it comes to safeguarding their own goals.
In this particular instant of time, I do believe that the fear of losing the game is greater than the desire to win it. If Liverpool were to lose the game, the gap to Manchester City would shrink considerably to just 3 points. If Manchester City were to lose the game, the gap to Liverpool would increase dramatically to no less than 9 points.

Liverpool

The Reds are still, by some distance, top of the table after 11 games, only dropping points in the away game to Manchester United.

Statistics

Only Manchester City have created more shots than Liverpool so far in the Premier League this season, Liverpool creating on average 17.00 shots per game. And only Manchester City and Chelsea have created more shots on target than Liverpool so far in the Premier League this season, Liverpool creating on average 6.55 shots on target per game.

Only Manchester City and Everton have conceded fewer shots than Liverpool so far in the Premier League this season, Liverpool conceding on average 9.00 shots per game. No other team has conceded fewer shots on target than Liverpool so far in the Premier League this season, Liverpool conceding on average 2.45 shots on target per game.

Manchester City

The Sky Blues are off to a somewhat jagged start to the season, lurking at 4:th place with 25 points from 11 games.

Statistics

No other team have created more shots than Manchester City so far in the Premier League this season, Manchester City creating on average 21.91 shots per game. No other team have created more shots on target than Manchester City so far in the Premier League this season, Manchester City creating on average 7.55 shots on target per game.

No other team have conceded fewer shots than Manchester City so far in the Premier League this season, Manchester City conceding on average 6.91 shots per game. Only 4 teams have conceded fewer shots on target than Manchester City so far in the Premier League this season, Manchester City conceding on average 3.73 shots on target per game.

Check out more Premier League stats here!

Conclusion & Betting Tips

Both Liverpool and Manchester City are among the teams creating the most and conceding the fewest shots and shots on target in the Premier League. I do believe that the fear of losing the game is greater than the desire to win it, and that the defensive stamina is on top of both manager's minds on Sunday.
My Betting Tip is Under 3 Goals.
Stake at 5/10 units.

Check out more odds on Liverpool - Manchester City here!

All bets