Nottingham Forest - Reading: A more even game than indicated by the table alone

Reading will travel north to face Nottingham Forest at City Ground on Saturday. I find the away team somewhat underrated in the current market.

Nottingham Forest

Forest are still enjoying a top 8 position with 22 points from 13 games. But the performances haven't been up to par with the points count, and with only 7 points from the last 5 games the West Bridgford club is starting to slip.

Statistics

Nine teams have created fewer shots than Nottingham so far in the Championship this season, Nottingham creating on average 12.15 shots per game. No other team has created fewer shots on target than Nottingham so far in the Championship this season, Nottingham creating on average 2.85 shots on target per game.
Looking at home games specifically so far this season there's a similar pattern emerging. 10 teams have created fewer shots at home than Nottingham in the Championship, Nottingham creating on average 13.17 shots per game. No other team has created fewer shots on target at home than Nottingham so far in the Championship this season, Nottingham creating on average 3.00 shots on target per game.

Only 6 teams have conceded more shots than Nottingham so far in the Championship this season, Nottingham conceding on average 14.31 shots per game. Only 3 teams have conceded more shots on target than Nottingham so far in the Championship this season, Nottingham conceding on average 4.46 shots on target per game.

Reading

The Royals have suffered a rough start to the season, hoovering in 20:th place with 12 points from 13 games. However, the performances have been good, and we might be seeing a turn of the tide. In the last two games, Reading has collected 4 points from top 6 teams Preston and QPR.

Statistics

8 teams have created more shots than Reading so far in the Championship this season, Reading creating on average 13.31 shots per game. 7 teams have created more shots on target than Reading so far in the Championship this season, Reading creating on average 4.38 shots on target per game.
Looking at away games specifically so far this season, only 4 teams have created more shots than Reading in the Championship, Reading creating on average 13.00 shots per game. Only 3 teams have created more shots on target on the road than Reading so far in the Championship this season, Reading creating on average 4.71 shots on target per game.

When on the road, Reading concede around the league average of shots per game. Only 7 team has conceded fewer shots on target on the road than Reading so far in the Championship this season, Reading conceding on average 3.71 shots on target per game.

Check out more Championship stats here!

Conclusion & Betting Tips

Nottingham is one of the teams creating the fewest and conceding the most shots and shots on target in the Championship, especially at home.
Reading is one of the teams creating the most and conceding the fewest shots and shots on target in the Championship, especially on the road.
My Betting Tip is Reading +0.25.
Stake at 5/10 units.

Check out more odds on Nottingham - Reading here!