Chelsea will host Newcastle at Stamford Bridge on Saturday. I find the home team slightly underrated in the current market.

Chelsea

The Blues are off to a good start to the season, occupying 5:th place with 14 points from 8 games.

Statistics

Only Manchester City has created more shots than Chelsea so far in the Premier League this season, Chelsea creating on average 16.63 shots per game. Only Manchester City has created more shots on target than Chelsea so far in the Premier League this season, Chelsea creating on average 6.25 shots on target per game.
Counting only home games so far this season, 5 teams have created more shots than Chelsea in the Premier League, Chelsea creating on average 16.00 shots per game. Only 3 teams have created more shots on target at home than Chelsea so far in the Premier League this season, Chelsea creating on average 5.50 shots on target per game.

Only Manchester City has conceded fewer shots than Chelsea so far in the Premier League this season, Chelsea conceding on average 9.00 shots per game. Only Liverpool has conceded fewer shots on target than Chelsea so far in the Premier League this season, Chelsea conceding on average 3.25 shots on target per game.
When at home, only 3 teams have conceded fewer shots than Chelsea so far in the Premier League this season, Chelsea conceding on average 8.50 shots per game. Only Leicester has conceded fewer shots on target at home than Chelsea so far in the Premier League this season, Chelsea conceding on average 2.25 shots on target per game.

Newcastle

The Magpies are off to a worrying start to the season, residing at spot 16 with 8 points from 8 games.

Statistics

No other team has created fewer shots and shots on target than Newcastle so far in the Premier League this season, Newcastle creating on average 9.25 shots and 2.50 shots on target per game.
Counting only away games so far this season, the numbers look even more grim: Newcastle creating on average 7.25 shots and 1.75 shots on target per game.

5 teams have conceded more shots than Newcastle so far in the Premier League this season, Newcastle conceding on average 14.38 shots per game. 8 teams have conceded more shots on target than Newcastle so far in the Premier League this season, Newcastle conceding on average 4.38 shots on target per game.
When on the road, only 4 teams have conceded more shots than Newcastle so far in the Premier League this season, Newcastle conceding on average 16.50 shots per game. Only 1 team has conceded more shots on target on the road than Newcastle so far in the Premier League this season, Newcastle conceding on average 6.00 shots on target per game.

Check out more Premier League stats here!

Conclusion & Betting Tips

Chelseas is one of the teams creating the most and conceding the fewest shots and shots on target in the Premier League, especially at home.
Newcastle is one of the teams creating the fewest and conceding the most shots and shots on target in the Premier League, especially on the road.
My Betting Tip is Chelsea -1.75.
Stake at 5/10 units.

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