Liverpool - Leicester: A gentle clash of giants?

Liverpool - Leicester: A gentle clash of giants?

Published by Christoffer Segerhjelm, 5 October 2019

Leicester will cross the border to North West England on Saturday to face Liverpool at Anfield. I believe there's some value to be found in the cards market.

Liverpool

The Reds are off to the best start possible, grabbing 21 points from the first 7 games of the season.

Statistics

No other team committed fewer fouls than Liverpool last season in the Premier League, Liverpool committing on average 8.29 fouls per game.
Looking at home games specifically, no other team committed fewer fouls than Liverpool last season in the Premier League, Liverpool committing on average 7.84 fouls per game.

Liverpool also committed the lowest number of fouls when facing top 6 teams and top half teams at home last season:

This season looks set to continue in the same way. Only 1 team has committed fewer fouls than Liverpool so far this season, Liverpool committing on average 8.71 fouls per game.
Looking at home games specifically, only 2 teams have committed fewer fouls than Liverpool so far this season, Liverpool committing on average 7.33 fouls per game.

Leicester

The Foxes have amassed no less than 14 points from the first 7 games of the season, occupying third spot in the table.

Statistics

Only 5 teams team committed fewer fouls than Leicester last season in the Premier League, Leicester committing on average 9.24 fouls per game.
When looking at away games solely, only 4 other teams committed fewer fouls than Leicester last season in the Premier League, Leicester committing on average 8.79 fouls per game.

When facing top 6 teams or top half teams on the road last season, Leicester was indeed one of the two teams committing the least number of fouls:

So far this season, Leicester has committed about the average number of fouls in the league.

Referee

Referee on Saturday is Chris Kavanagh. When officiating games in the Premier League, Kavanagh is displaying one of the lowest average numbers of cards per game. Last season, he handed out on average 3.08 yellow cards per game (32.92 booking points per game). So far this season, only 4 referees have handed out fewer yellow cards per game than Kavanagh in the Premier League, Kavanagh handing out on average 2.40 yellow cards per game (24.00 booking points per game).

Check out more Premier League stats here!

Conclusion & Betting Tips

Both teams have a recent history of committing a really low number of fouls, especially when facing other top teams in the league.
The referee is averaging a relatively low number of cards when officiating games in the Premier League.
My first Betting Tip is Total Cards: Under 2.5.
Stake at 5/10 units.
My second Betting Tip is Total Cards Home Team: Under 0.5.
Stake at 5/10 units.

Check out more odds on Liverpool - Leicester here!

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