Leicester - Newcastle: Confident defense to handle weak attack

Leicester - Newcastle: Confident defense to handle weak attack

Published by Christoffer Segerhjelm, 24 September 2019

Leicester City host Newcastle United at King Power Stadium on Sunday. I believe there's some value to be found in the score markets.

Leicester

The Foxes are off to a splendid start to the season, occupying third place with 11 points from 6 games. Possibly overperforming slightly, but still impressive.

Statistics

Only 4 teams conceded fewer shots than Leicester in the Premier League last season, Leicester conceding on average 11.21 shots per game. Only 4 teams conceded fewer shots on target than Leicester last season in the Premier League, Leicester conceding on average 3.66 shots on target per game.
Looking at home games specifically, only 3 teams conceded fewer shots than Leicester in the Premier League last season, Leicester conceding on average 8.89 shots per game. Only 4 teams conceded fewer shots on target at home than Leicester last season in the Premier League, Leicester conceding on average 3.26 shots on target per game.

The new season closely mirror last season: Only 4 teams have conceded fewer shots than Leicester so far in the Premier League, Leicester conceding on average 9.83 shots per game. Only 4 teams have conceded fewer shots on target than Leicester so far in the Premier League, Leicester conceding on average 3.50 shots on target per game.
Looking at home games specifically, only 4 teams have conceded fewer shots than Leicester so far in the Premier League this season, Leicester conceding on average 9.00 shots per game. Only 4 teams have conceded fewer shots on target at home than Leicester so far in the Premier League this season, Leicester conceding on average 2.67 shots on target per game.

Newcastle

The Magpies have had a rough start to the season. With 5 points from 6 games they find themselves just 1 point above the relegation zone.

Statistics

Only 6 teams created fewer shots than Newcastle in the Premier League last season, Newcastle creating on average 11.68 shots per game. Only 4 teams created fewer shots on target than Newcastle last season in the Premier League, Newcastle creating on average 3.74 shots on target per game.
Looking at away games specifically, only 2 teams created fewer shots than Newcastle in the Premier League last season, Newcastle creating on average 9.37 shots per game. Only 4 teams created fewer shots on target on the road than Newcastle last season in the Premier League, Newcastle creating on average 3.26 shots on target per game.

So far this season, only 2 teams have created fewer shots than Newcastle in the Premier League, Newcastle creating on average 9.83 shots per game. Only 1 team have created fewer shots on target than Newcastle so far in the Premier League, Newcastle creating on average 3.00 shots on target per game.
Looking at away games specifically, only 3 teams have created fewer shots than Newcastle so far in the Premier League this season, Newcastle creating on average 8.67 shots per game. Only 1 team have created fewer shots on target on the road than Newcastle so far in the Premier League this season, Newcastle creating on average 2.33 shots on target per game.

Check out more Premier League stats here!

Conclusion & Betting Tips

Leicester is one of the most solid teams in the Premier League, even improving on the shots data from last season.
Newcastle is one of the most impotent and innoxious teams in the Premier League, the shots data even deteriorating from last season.
Also, only 3 teams have a lower shot efficiency than Newcastle and only 1 team have a higher save percentage than Leicester so far in the Premier League this season.
My Betting Tip is Total Goals by Away Team: Under 0.5.
Stake at 5/10 units.

Check out more odds on Leicester - Newcastle here!

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