Chelsea - Brighton: Corner stats favours the home team
Brighton & Hove Albion will travel north to face Chelsea at Stamford Bridge on Saturday. I do believe there's some value to be found in the corners market.
Chelsea
The Blues are off to a jolty but passable start to the season. Frank Lampard's squad have amassed 8 points from 6 games, losing 8 of the dropped 10 points so far to Manchester United, Leicester and Liverpool.
Statistics
When playing at Stamford Bridge last season, Chelsea created on average 6.3 corners per game and conceded on average 3.8 corners per game (a difference of +2.5 corners per game).
When facing teams from the bottom half of the table at Stamford Bridge last season, Chelsea created on average 6.9 corners and conceded on average 3.5 corners per game (a difference of +3.4 corners per game).
In fact, only 3 teams had a better corner difference than Chelsea last season when facing bottom half teams:
In the 3 home games so far this season Chelsea has created on average 4.3 corners per game and conceded on average 4.3 corners per game. However, the opponents have been top 6 teams Leicester, Liverpool and gravity-defying Sheffield United.
Brighton
The Seagulls and new manager Graham Potter must be both frustrated and eager to get back to winning ways. After beating Watford away in the first game of the season, Brighton have just conquered 3 more points (3 draws), despite some promising performances.
Statistics
When on the road last season, Brighton created on average 3.5 corners per game and conceded on average 6.8 corners per game (a difference of -3.3 corners per game).
When facing teams from the top half of the table on the road last season, Brighton created on average 3.8 corners but conceded on average 7.8 corners per game (a difference of -4.0 corners per game).
Only 1 team had a worse corner difference than Brighton last season when facing top half teams:
In the 3 away games so far this season Brighton created on average 2.0 corners per game and conceded on average 6.0 corners per game, a difference of -4.0 corners per game (against Watford, Manchester City and Newcastle, Brighton losing the corner count 5-2, 8-1, 5-3 respectively).
Check out more Premier League stats here!
Conclusion & Betting Tips
Chelsea is one of the teams in the Premier League with the best corner difference record when facing bottom half teams at home.
Brighton is one of the teams in the Premier League with the worst corner difference record when facing top half teams on the road.
Also: in the last two games between the two teams at Stamford Bridge, Chelsea has won the corner count 7-1 and 13-1.
My Betting Tip is Chelsea -3.5 Corners (Asian Handicap Corners!).
Stake at 5/10 units.
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