Carlisle - Exeter, Home team to recieve the most cards

Carlisle United host Exeter City at Brunton Park on Saturday.

Carlisle

The Cumbrians are off to a rather bleak start to the season. They find themselves in 18:th place with 7 points from 6 games. A bit lucky since the performances have been quite scrappy and the top half finish from last season seems lika a utopia.
Carlisle have seen an overhaul of the squad during the summer, manager Steven Pressley keeping only some 30% of the squad from last season.

Statistics

This refurbished team looks like a truculent bunch: only 4 teams committed more yellow cards so far this season (Carlisle committed 2.17 yellow cards per game so far this season) and only 5 teams committed more fouls so far this season (Carlisle committed 15 fouls per game so far this season).

Exeter

The Devonshire club looks to build on the successful results from last season. A 9:th place finish was perhaps slightly disappointing in the end but it looks like it could also be quite incentive. Exeter is off to a flying start this season, residing top of the table with 14 points from 6 games.
The Grecians have indeed enjoyed more stable conditions than their opponents. Club legend Matt Taylor is in charge since June 2018, keeping some 64% of the squad and 8 players from the most used starting 11 from last season.

Statistics

Exeter was one of the teams committing the least amount of fouls last season, especially when facing teams from the bottom half of the table. Only 5 teams committed fewer fouls than Exeter when facing teams from the bottom half of the table.

This season has started in the same pattern: Exeter is the team committing the least amount of fouls so far this season, committing on average 8.5 fouls per game.

Referee

Referee is Jeremy Simpson. Not the most frequent of acquaintances in League Two, but when he does turn up there’s an interesting quirk to the stats.
Simpson was in charge 6 games last season in League One and League Two combined, awarding by far the most yellow cards per game last season (not counting referees with only 1 game in charge). On average Simpson displayed no less than 6.17 yellow cards and 0.17 red cards per game.

Check out more League Two stats here!

Conclusion & Betting Tips

I think Carlisle are in for a multilayered ride on Saturday. They are not really up to par with the best teams in the league and their style of play is quite aggressive; maybe even more so when the season and the performance look a bit disappointing.
Exeter’s style of play is rather elegant and non-aggressive, making Carlisle look even more sluggish and rough?
Add to this the interesting stats of referee Simpson, waving an obscene amount if cards in the few games he manages.
My Betting Tip is Most Booking Points: Carlisle.
Stake at 6.75/10 units.

Check out more odds on Carlisle - Exeter here!