Burnley - Liverpool, A gentle visit to Turf More

Burnley in 6:th place host league leaders Liverpool at Turf More on Saturday evening.

Burnley

The Clarets have piled up 4 points from the initial 3 games. With an appetite for more.

Squad status

Burnley will be without midfielders Steven Defour, Robbie Brady and possibly also Johann Gudmundsson. Only the latter would feature in the lineup if fit.

Statistics

Burnley was one of the teams conceding the most yellow cards last season: however most of them on the road. At home Burnley conceded 1.73 yellow cards per game, close to the league average.
Even more relevant: only 3 teams committed less fouls than Burnley when facing top 6 teams last season.

This season has started in the same pattern: Burnley are among the 7 teams conceding the fewest fouls so far.

Liverpool

The Reds are off to a bright start: 9 points from 3 games, not even running at full capacity.

Squad status

First choice goalkeeper Alisson sustained a calf injury against Norwich and will be sidelined for some time. Adrian will most probably deputize on Saturday.
Center-Back Dejan Lovren and midfielder Naby Keita will probably also miss out.

Statistics

Liverpool was the team conceding the least amount of cards last season: 37 yellow cards and 2 red cards in 38 games.
Perhaps even more relevant: Liverpool was the team conceding the least amount of fouls when facing teams from the bottom half of the table last season.

This season has started in the same way: Liverpool is the team conceding the least amount of fouls in the league so far.

Referee

Referee is Chris Kavanagh who is one of the most placid and tolerant referees in the Premier League. Only 5 referees awarded less yellow cards last season in the Premier League; Kavanagh displaying on average 3.08 yellow cards (and 0.08 red cards) per game (24 games in total). Only 3 referees noted a less amount of fouls on average last season in the Premier League than Kavanaghs 19.29 per game.
Kavanagh is off to a similar start this season: lifting on average 1.50 yellow cards per game above his head (2 games on total).

Check out more Premier League stats here!

Conclusion & Betting Tips

There are plenty of things suggesting we’ll be seeing a low number of cards on Saturday evening. Both teams have a history of committing few fouls and the referee has quite a gentle track-record.
Also, last 5 games between Burnley and Liverpool have had on average 2.00 cards shown; 0.50 when at Turf Moor.
My Betting Tip is Total Cards: Under 2.5.
Stake at 5/10 units.

Check out more odds on Burnley - Liverpool here!